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Estimation of Coronavirus Disease Case-Fatality Risk in Real Time

Yang Ge, Shengzhi Sun

Emerging Infectious Diseases · 2020

doi:10.3201/eid2608.201096 (opens in a new tab)

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Abstract

We ran a simulation comparing 3 methods to calculate case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease using parameters described in previous studies. Case-fatality risk calculated from these methods all are biased at the early stage of the epidemic. When comparing real-time case-fatality risk, the current trajectory of the epidemic should be considered.

Abstract licence: CC BY

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