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Thinking in Categories of Multivariant Future

Eckard Minx, Ewald Bohlke

Foresight and STI Governance · 2008

doi:10.17323/1995-459x.2008.4.4.8 (opens in a new tab)

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Abstract

Complex and implicit issues of utilizing scenario method in strategic planning are considered. Special emphasis is placed on a gap between future visions and related actions of politicians and business actors that prevents efficient decision-making on the national level. Authors not only reveal existing contradictions but also attempt to explain their causes and recommend solutions to overcome the problem. They propose an unconventional approach - scenario design of the future. It allows revealing relations between various complex phenomenons, comparing consequences of alternative development pathways and make better decisions. Keywords: strategic planning; strategic thinking; strategic management

Abstract licence: CC BY

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