Ki tervez külföldre menni? Anyagi és kapcsolati tényezők szerepe a migrációs tervek létrejöttében. - Who plans to go abroad? — The role of material and relationship factors regarding the emergence of migration plans

In our study, we investigate whether the existence or absence of migration plans can be explained — and if yes, to what extent — by economic or relationship related factors. We also make an inquiry to find out which one of the mentioned sets of factors has a stronger effect. In the first part, we present the virtues and limitations of the use of migration potential, and then we describe the methodology of our research. Subsequently, we calculate the migration potential of the given population, and detect some factors that can be related to the existence of migration plans. Particular emphasis is laid on the possible effects of the current economic and social capital on the intention of going abroad. In our analysis, we also examine whether migration expectations — concerning economic and personal domains — may affect migration plans. According to our results, both economic and social capital show a significant correlation with migration intentions, and expectations prove to be an important factor. It can be also concluded that the existence of migration plans can be better explained with social capital than with economic capital.

Abstract licence: CC BY-SA

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