Dynamics of Regional Business Cycles in Colombian Cities: Identification of Growth Rates, Recession Propagation, and Cluster Analysis

Using a Markov switching panel, this research analyzes business cycle dynamics in 23 Colombian cities and metropolitan areas. First, we find heterogeneous values by identifying expansion and recession growth rates using employment and economic covariables. Second, cluster analysis groups cities with shared economic patterns and key explanatory factors. Finally, we examine how historical recessions propagate across these clusters. The findings highlight diverse growth rates and common recession factors, providing a comprehensive view of urban economic dynamics. This approach contributes to more effective policy formulation by considering regional variability in economic cycles.

Abstract licence: CC BY-NC

A person counts once a day per paper. We keep no cookie and no address: a reader is a hash that changes every day. Any month under five reads shows no number.