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Corrected on Jun 1, 2020.

Source: the publisher, via Crossref · checked Oct 30, 2026 · Read the notice

Likelihood of survival of coronavirus disease 2019

Shigui Ruan

The Lancet Infectious Diseases · 2020 · CC BY

doi:10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30257-7

Abstract

A case fatality ratio of an infectious disease measures the proportion of all individuals diagnosed with a disease who will die from that disease. For an emerging infectious disease, this ratio is thus a very important indicator not only of disease severity but also of its significance as a public health problem. For instance, WHO estimated a case fatality ratio of approximately 14–15% for severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2003,1 and approximately 35% for Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) in 2012.

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